Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Roundup for Wednesday, May 28: new GOP poll

Today's news includes the first post-primary poll:
  • A survey by a pollster who has worked for Sen. Rand Paul shows Sen. Mitch McConnell leading Alison Lundergan Grimes 47 percent to 44 percent, with 8 percent undecided and an error margin of 3.95 percentage points (which applies to each percentage). Wenzel Strategies took the poll Friday and Saturday, May 23-24, the beginning of a holiday weekend, when most survey firms avoid polling, but the firm said the sample "was balanced for party affiliation, gender, regional population, race and age." The poll showed McConnell with a rating of 55 percent favorable and 42 percent unfavorable, "a significant positive bump, likely from his primary victory and the publicity it generated," pollster Fritz Wenzel said in a memo. Grimes's rating is also favorable, at 51-42. Asked if McConnell deserves re-election, the numbers were statistically even, but "he leads Grimes by a 41% to 25% margin among those who said they might be considering someone other than McConnell for U.S. Senate this November," Wenzel writes. "This segment of respondents only represents 15% of the electorate, but it will very likely be the class of voters who will decide this election." Detailed results are here.
  • Joe Gerth of The Courier-Journal takes note on the paper's Politics blog of a false story about McConnell on "a satire site -- albeit not a very good one."
  • Joe Arnold of Louisville's WHAS-TV revisits the Obamacare issue in light of statements from Gov. Steve Beshear and McConnell's campaign, then asks on Twitter, "Does @Team_Mitch welcome criticism of Kynect 'not connected' comment b/c it highlights Obamacare as # issue?" Phillip Bailey of Louisville' WFPL also looks at the matter.

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